Exponential Growth in Blogs But More Linear Growth in Page Views?

Dave Sifry has got a great post on the state of the blogosphere. Very noteworthy is an interesting discussion on the emergence of spam blogs.

What is not shocking to me is the exponential-type growth of the number of blogs, where the number of blogs appears to double every five months. Some in the blogosphere have noted potential artifacts in the measurement process. Perhaps so. Probably so. But hey, I’m not sure where one can get better data at this stage of the game.

What is more perplexing to me is the closer to linear daily page view growth that I see via Alexa for TypePad (one of the blog platform market leaders). Would be interesting to normalize # of page views by # of active blogs.

I am looking forward to Dave’s upcoming post on posting volume for blogs. Although this is separate from page view growth, maybe this will help me to reconcile in my mind where the overall blogging market is going and who is going to get squeezed.

Update (3/15/05): Dave has new post on posting volume. Posting volume looks closer to linear to me. Whew!

Steve Shu