Applied Behavioral Economics Series 2023

In 2023, I’m going to experiment with series of short posts and mixed media that will try to appeal to those that are thinking of starting behavioral economics initiatives or trying to take things to the next level. I have a unique background to bring this type of content as I have worked in the commercial world for more than 30 years while also having an academic research and teaching background in behavioral economics. I will try to leverage an intersection between what I implement as a behavioral economics advisor in the commercial world and what I teach experientially in the classroom.

Current LinkedIn connections and prior students may also feel free to join an Applied Behavioral Economics slack channel. We can use to this as a way to share ideas, post questions, or potentially arrange informal meetups. Please send me an email at steve@steveshuconsulting.com or if your organization is on an approved domain (e.g., cornell.edu) you should be able to join using the following link: https://join.slack.com/t/appliedbehavi-qow2205/shared_invite/zt-1makq3ojb-GYmDS_eGI50uG_YoLdh10w (link valid for 30 days).

Talk at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology on Behavioral Finance

In March 2023, I will be guest speaking to DBA students at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology about implementing behavioral finance initiatives in corporations, an area that I have worked in for more than a third of my three-decade-some working career. Much thanks to Prof. Anirban Mukhopadhyay for inviting me. While the details are still to be worked, I plan to cover a number of case studies relative to retirement, FinTech, wealth management, and investment management firms. In addition to covering some perspectives on implementing behavioral insights teams, I also plan to provide some behind-the-scenes perspectives on applied research studies, such as the one Hal Hershfield, Shlomo Benartzi, and I worked on with Acorns (linked here at Marketing Science).

While organizations and companies have come a long way in terms of implementing behavioral economics, we are still in a relatively early phase with some organizations falling behind or missing out. 2023 will be a big year of change for me. Will it be for you? Please feel free to reach out to explore possibilities. Perhaps we can help one another in either academic (e.g., I have two new behavioral courses under development) or corporate settings.

Podcast Interview on Behavioral Investing: Managing the Emotions Behind Our Decisions

Last month I chatted with Tony Roth, Chief Investment Officer at Wilmington Trust, N.A., a subsidiary of M&T Bank (NYSE: MTB) as part of his podcast series, Capital Conversations. For me, it was an interesting conversation to have had for a number of reasons, and three perspectives really captured the direction of my thinking. 

The first perspective was that as a society we have really been under a lot of stress for the past two years, a type of stress that I have not seen in my lifetime. So while investment markets are not currently very volatile, it is a good time for many people to get a fresh start and re-assess their situations.

The third perspective is that people are really different, and sometimes it can matter a lot. We understand some of these differences better than others (such as innumeracy and its impacts). There are other differences (like capability and confidence mismatches relative to new technologies, like cryptocurrency) that are less understood. As another example, the younger generation thinks about finance and life very differently than older generations. How to better address individual behavioral differences and situations will be an ongoing opportunity where people will need help.

The second perspective was that there are so many different behavioral elements at play when we think about different people, the interplay of fast, automatic thinking versus slow, reflective thinking; the digital world, and the numerous challenges of finance. It is unlikely that we can find one silver bullet, behavioral solution to fully address all problems. That said, we can put in place processes to help ensure that we make the best decisions we can for the things that really matter, while also avoiding some of the major obstacles that happen on a regular basis, such as overconfidence,  natural biases in forecasting the future, thinking in narrow frames, and others.

Thanks to Tony Roth and the Wilmington Trust team for hosting me for the podcast.

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Good Papers on Machine Learning and Economics

Here are some overview papers that may be of interest to people that are learning about ties between machine learning and economics. Admittedly, it helps to have some formal background on causal inference to read these papers.

For more background on causal inference, I highly recommend the book by Scott Cunningham, Causal Inference.

Recent article: “The effectiveness of nudging: A meta-analysis of choice architecture interventions across behavioral domains”

In one of my prior Applied Behavioral Economics lectures, I mentioned the notion of not only looking at individual studies but also finding meta studies (essentially studies of studies) to help inform behavioral perspectives. This article covers a meta study of behavioral architecture interventions: https://www.pnas.org/content/119/1/e2107346118 

In this article, there were two observations that really stuck out to me:

1) Considering a range of domains (health, food, environment, finance, prosocial) where behavioral architecture is applied, there is the highest effect on food choices and lowest effects in the financial domain; effects are potentially moderated by domain because of lower behavioral costs and lower perceived consequences in the former versus higher behavioral costs and higher perceived consequences in the latter. 

2) Decision structure changes (choice architecture) outperforms decision information (information architecture) and decision assistance approaches, potentially because choice architecture approaches require less demand on cognitive information processing, and there is low susceptibility to individual differences and goals. (But remember that we will start to address personalization and individual differences in upcoming classes).

If you are interested in learning more about meta studies and how to do them, I highly recommend the book: Borenstein, Michael, et al. Introduction to meta-analysis. https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0470057246/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_bibl_vppi_i2 

What Can User Experience (UX) Designers Learn from the Field of Behavioral Economics?

This post is based on a question that I answered previously on Quora.

Although it’s not exclusively from the realm of behavioral economics, the notion of A/B testing is something that I often try to work with companies to include. On the one hand this includes the capabilities of companies to integrate specific aspects of their product management, software development, UX, data science, and marketing processes. But it also means developing a research mindset that comes from the experimental side of behavioral economics. For example, if one really wants to nail down which aspects of a UX or customer experience affect behavior and outcomes, the gold standard is using randomized assignment, A/B testing, and discipline that between testing conditions only one item is changed. In setting up the A and B test conditions for a behavioral insights based UX isolation test, one can add, subtract, or substitute a single element between two test conditions. If you change more than one element, then your findings will be confounded between the multiple elements changed, and you won’t be able to tell what change worked or didn’t. UX teams should become used to working in worlds that include testing harnesses like Visual Website Optimizer, Optimizely, and the like.

For a little more on A/B testing, see this WSJ article by one of my colleagues. It describes a simple, but extremely powerful A/B test we worked on with a FinTech company’s UX. It’s Time to A/B Test Your Financial Life

If you are interested in other aspects related to the digital UX world and behavioral economics, you might also want to check out a book that was written by two of my colleagues: The Smarter Screen: Surprising Ways to Influence and Improve Online Behavior.

What Does a Chief Behavioral Officer Do?

This post is based on a previous question posed to me on Quora.

The role of a Chief Behavioral Officer (CBOs) varies, but a common theme I’ve seen is that they analyze, plan, innovate, and implement aspects of the business using insights and methods from the behavioral sciences (e.g., behavioral economics, psychology). Some of the companies with CBOs do mostly marketing communications or thought leadership (e.g., research) while others may get involved with bringing insights and designs to product development (e.g., applied research). Some CBOs may directly manage people, such as a team of PhDs, analysts, etc. as well as partnerships (e.g., with academic researchers). The approach of CBOs may also vary in terms of the science. For example, some may leverage pre-existing research. Others may work with big data (e.g., proprietary) and correlational or instrumental variable type analysis. Yet others may take an experimental approach (e.g., A/B testing) and work with product and service teams to directly measure how designs affect behavior and outcomes.

A key aspect of determining the activities of the CBO really come down to setting goals for the larger organization, assessing gaps and resources, and developing a tactical plan to meet the goals over time. As an example, for the past few CBOs I have helped, we often worked to develop 30–60–90 day plans to initially get the organization rolling with longer-term planning and thinking happening in parallel.